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Browsing by Author "Born, Benjamin"

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    • 2020-12Diskussionspapier
      Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news 
      Born, Benjamin; Dovern, Jonas; Enders, Zeno
      Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find ...
    • 2023-07Diskussionspapier
      Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro 
      Born, Benjamin; Enders, Zeno; Menkhoff, Manuel; Müller, Gernot; Niemann, Knut
      Using firm-level data, we study how firm expectations adjust to news while accounting for a) the heterogeneity of news and b) the heterogeneity of firms. We classify news as either micro or macro, that is, information ...
    • 2023-06Diskussionspapier
      On FIRE, news, and expectations 
      Born, Benjamin; Enders, Zeno; Müller, Gernot J.
      The full-information rational expectations (FIRE) assumption is at the core of modern macroeconomics. We revisit recent evidence which rejects FIRE based on survey data. It relates forecast errors to news at different ...
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