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Auflistung nach Autor "Fritsche, Ulrich"
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2020BuchFutures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century Fritsche, Ulrich; Köster, Roman; Lenel, LaetitiaFew areas in economics are as controversial as economic forecasting. While the field has sparked great hopes for the prediction of economic trends and events throughout the 20th and 21st centuries, economic forecasts have ...
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2020-10DiskussionspapierSharks and minnows in a shoal of words: Measuring latent ideological positions of German economic research institutes based on text mining techniques Diaf, Sami; Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Rockenbach, IdaUsing corpora of business cycle report sections dealing with monetary and fiscal policy issues from 1999 to 2017 and using methods of unsupervised text scaling (Slapin and Proksch, 2008; Lauderdale and Herzog, 2016), ...
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2017-07DiskussionspapierTheories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Waldhof, GabyThe paper reports results of a survey among active forecasters of the German business cycle. Relying on 82 respondents from 37 different institutions, we investigate what models and theories forecasters subscribe to and ...