Terrestrial vegetation redistribution and carbon balance under climate change Carbon Balance and Management
Lebenswissenschaftliche Fakultät
Background: Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) compute the terrestrial carbon
balance as well as the transient spatial distribution of vegetation. We study two scenarios of moderate and strong climate change (2.9 K and 5.3 K temperature increase over present) to investigate the spatial redistribution of major vegetation types and their carbon balance in the year 2100. Results: The world's land vegetation will be more deciduous than at present, and contain about 125 billion tons of additional carbon. While a recession of the boreal forest is simulated in some areas, along with a general expansion to the north, we do not observe a reported collapse of the central Amazonian rain forest. Rather, a decrease of biomass and a change of vegetation type occurs in its northeastern part. The ability of the terrestrial biosphere to sequester carbon from
the atmosphere declines strongly in the second half of the 21st century. Conclusion: Climate change will cause widespread shifts in the distribution of major vegetation
functional types on all continents by the year 2100.
Notes
Die Zweitveröffentlichung der Publikation wurde durch Studierende des Projektseminars "Open Access Publizieren an der HU" im Sommersemester 2017 betreut. Nachgenutzt gemäß den CC-Bestimmungen des Lizenzgebers bzw. einer im Dokument selbst enthaltenen CC-Lizenz.