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2020-01-30Zeitschriftenartikel DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6395
Climate change induced socio-economic tipping points: review and stakeholder consultation for policy relevant research
dc.contributor.authorvan Ginkel, Kees C. H.
dc.contributor.authorBotzen, Wouter
dc.contributor.authorHaasnoot, Marjolijn
dc.contributor.authorBachner, Gabriel
dc.contributor.authorSteininger, Karl
dc.contributor.authorHinkel, Jochen
dc.contributor.authorWatkiss, Paul
dc.contributor.authorBoere, Esther
dc.contributor.authorJeuken, Ad
dc.contributor.authorSainz de Murieta, Elisa
dc.contributor.authorBosello, Francesco
dc.date.accessioned2022-08-17T13:18:37Z
dc.date.available2022-08-17T13:18:37Z
dc.date.issued2020-01-30none
dc.date.updated2022-01-29T04:28:17Z
dc.identifier.urihttp://edoc.hu-berlin.de/18452/25855
dc.description.abstractTipping points have become a key concept in research on climate change, indicating points of abrupt transition in biophysical systems as well as transformative changes in adaptation and mitigation strategies. However, the potential existence of tipping points in socio-economic systems has remained underexplored, whereas they might be highly policy relevant. This paper describes characteristics of climate change induced socio-economic tipping points (SETPs) to guide future research on SETPS to inform climate policy. We review existing literature to create a tipping point typology and to derive the following SETP definition: a climate change induced, abrupt change of a socio-economic system, into a new, fundamentally different state. Through stakeholder consultation, we identify 22 candidate SETP examples with policy relevance for Europe. Three of these are described in higher detail to identify their tipping point characteristics (stable states, mechanisms and abrupt change): the collapse of winter sports tourism, farmland abandonment and sea-level rise-induced migration. We find that stakeholder perceptions play an important role in describing SETPs. The role of climate drivers is difficult to isolate from other drivers because of complex interplays with socio-economic factors. In some cases, the rate of change rather than the magnitude of change causes a tipping point. The clearest SETPs are found on small system scales. On a national to continental scale, SETPs are less obvious because they are difficult to separate from their associated economic substitution effects and policy response. Some proposed adaptation measures are so transformative that their implementations can be considered an SETP in terms of ‘response to climate change’. Future research can focus on identification and impact analysis of tipping points using stylized models, on the exceedance of stakeholder-defined critical thresholds in the RCP/SSP space and on the macro-economic impacts of new system states.eng
dc.description.sponsorshipHorizon 2020 Framework Programme https://doi.org/10.13039/100010661
dc.language.isoengnone
dc.publisherHumboldt-Universität zu Berlin
dc.rights(CC BY 3.0) Attribution 3.0 Unportedger
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
dc.subjecttipping pointseng
dc.subjectclimate changeeng
dc.subjectsystematic revieweng
dc.subjectsocio-economiceng
dc.subjectstakeholder consultationeng
dc.subject.ddc550 Geowissenschaftennone
dc.subject.ddc330 Wirtschaftnone
dc.titleClimate change induced socio-economic tipping points: review and stakeholder consultation for policy relevant researchnone
dc.typearticle
dc.identifier.urnurn:nbn:de:kobv:11-110-18452/25855-1
dc.identifier.doi10.1088/1748-9326/ab6395none
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.18452/25163
dc.type.versionpublishedVersionnone
local.edoc.container-titleEnvironmental research lettersnone
local.edoc.pages16none
local.edoc.type-nameZeitschriftenartikel
local.edoc.institutionLebenswissenschaftliche Fakultätnone
local.edoc.container-typeperiodical
local.edoc.container-type-nameZeitschrift
local.edoc.container-publisher-nameIOP Publ.none
local.edoc.container-publisher-placeBristolnone
local.edoc.container-volume15none
local.edoc.container-issue2none
dc.description.versionPeer Reviewednone
local.edoc.container-articlenumber023001none
dc.identifier.eissn1748-9326

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