Logo of Humboldt-Universität zu BerlinLogo of Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
edoc-Server
Open-Access-Publikationsserver der Humboldt-Universität
de|en
Header image: facade of Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
View Item 
  • edoc-Server Home
  • Schriftenreihen und Sammelbände
  • Fakultäten und Institute der HU
  • Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
  • Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko
  • View Item
  • edoc-Server Home
  • Schriftenreihen und Sammelbände
  • Fakultäten und Institute der HU
  • Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
  • Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko
  • View Item
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.
All of edoc-ServerCommunity & CollectionTitleAuthorSubjectThis CollectionTitleAuthorSubject
PublishLoginRegisterHelp
StatisticsView Usage Statistics
All of edoc-ServerCommunity & CollectionTitleAuthorSubjectThis CollectionTitleAuthorSubject
PublishLoginRegisterHelp
StatisticsView Usage Statistics
View Item 
  • edoc-Server Home
  • Schriftenreihen und Sammelbände
  • Fakultäten und Institute der HU
  • Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
  • Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko
  • View Item
  • edoc-Server Home
  • Schriftenreihen und Sammelbände
  • Fakultäten und Institute der HU
  • Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
  • Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko
  • View Item
2008-09-19Buch DOI: 10.18452/4151
The Influence of the Business Cycle on Mortality
Reichmuth, Wolfgang H.
Sarferaz, Samad
We analyze the impact of short-run economic fluctuations on age-specific mortality using Bayesian time series econometrics and contribute to the debate on the procyclicality of mortality. For the first time, we examine the differing consequences of economic changes for all individual age classes. We employ a recently developed model to set up structural VARs of a latent mortality variable and of unemployment and GDP growth as main business cycle indicators. We find that young adults noticeably differ from the rest of the population. They exhibit increased mortality in a recession, whereas most of the other age classes between childhood and old age react with lower mortality to increased unemployment or decreased GDP growth. In order to avoid that opposed effects may cancel each other, our findings suggest to differentiate closely between particular age classes, especially in the age range of young adults. The results for the U.S. in the period 1956–2004 are confirmed by an international comparison with France and Japan. Long- term changes in the relationship between macroeconomic conditions and mortality are investigated with data since 1933.
Files in this item
Thumbnail
59.pdf — Adobe PDF — 649.3 Kb
MD5: adaa83910970b196b243cce894af9ce1
Cite
BibTeX
EndNote
RIS
InCopyright
Details
DINI-Zertifikat 2019OpenAIRE validatedORCID Consortium
Imprint Policy Contact Data Privacy Statement
A service of University Library and Computer and Media Service
© Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
 
DOI
10.18452/4151
Permanent URL
https://doi.org/10.18452/4151
HTML
<a href="https://doi.org/10.18452/4151">https://doi.org/10.18452/4151</a>