2009-07-07Buch DOI: 10.18452/4201
Inflation and Growth
New Evidence From a Dynamic Panel Threshold Analysis
We introduce a dynamic panel threshold model to shed new light on the impact of inflation on long-term economic growth. The empirical analysis is based on a large panel-data set including 124 countries during the period from 1950 to 2004. For industrialized countries, our results confirm the inflation targets of about 2% set by many central banks. For non-industrialized countries, we estimate that inflation hampers growth if it exceeds 17%. Below this threshold, however, the impact of inflation on growth remains insignificant. Therefore, our results do not support growth-enhancing effects of inflation in developing countries.
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Is Part Of Series: Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko - 36, SFB 649 Papers, ISSN:1860-5664