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2016-12-07Diskussionpapier
Central Bank Reputation, Cheap Talk and Transparency as Substitutes for Commitment 
Experimental Evidence
Duffy, John; Heinemann, Frank
We implement a repeated version of the Barro-Gordon monetary policy game in the laboratory and ask whether reputation serves as a substitute for commitment, enabling the central bank to achieve the efficient Ramsey equilibrium ...
2016-10-19Diskussionpapier
Forward Guidance under Disagreement 
Evidence from the Fed's Dot Projections
Detmers, Gunda-Alexandra
This paper compares the effectiveness of date- and state-based forward guidance issued by the Federal Reserve since mid-2011 accounting for the influence of disagreement within the FOMC. Effectiveness is investigated through ...
2016-10-21Diskussionpapier
The Impact of a Negative Labor Demand Shock on Fertility 
Evidence from the Fall of the Berlin Wall
Liepmann, Hannah
How does a negative labor demand shock impact individual-level fertility? I analyze this question in the context of the East German fertility decline after the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989. Exploiting differential ...
2016-11-02Diskussionpapier
Credit Rating Score Analysis 
Härdle, Wolfgang K.; Fai, Phoon Kok; Chuen, David Lee Kuo
We analyse a sample of funds and other securities each assigned a total rating score by an unknown expert entity. The scores are based on a number of risk and complexity factors, each assigned a category (factor score) of ...
2016-11-23Diskussionpapier
Beta-boosted ensemble for big credit scoring data 
Zieba, Maciej; Härdle, Wolfgang K.
In this work we present a novel ensemble model for a credit scoring problem. The main idea of the approach is to incorporate separate beta binomial distributions for each of the classes to generate balanced datasets that ...
2016-10-26Diskussionpapier
Implications of Shadow Bank Regulation for Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bounds 
Mazelis, Falk
Counter to the credit channel of monetary transmission, monetary policy tightening induces a rise in lending by two different types of non-bank financial institutions (NBFI): shadow banks and investment funds. A monetary ...
2016-10-26Diskussionpapier
Information Acquisition and Liquidity Dry-Ups 
Koenig, Philipp; Pothier, David
We analyze a novel feedback mechanism between market and funding liquidity that causes self-fulfilling liquidity dry-ups. Financial firms facing funding withdrawals have an incentive to acquire information about their ...
2016-11-07Diskussionspapier
Time Varying Quantile Lasso 
Zbonakova, Lenka; Härdle, Wolfgang Karl; Wang, Weining
In the present paper we study the dynamics of penalization parameter ? of the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) method proposed by Tibshirani (1996) and extended into quantile regression context by ...
2016-11-23Diskussionpapier
Network Quantile Autoregression 
Zhu, Xuening; Wang, Weining; Wang, Hangsheng; Härdle, Wolfgang K.
It is a challenging task to understand the complex dependency structures in an ultra-high dimensional network, especially when one concentrates on the tail dependency. To tackle this problem, we consider a network quantile ...
2016-11-15Diskussionpapier
Q3-D3-LSA 
Borke, Lukas; Härdle, Wolfgang K.
QuantNet 1 is an integrated web-based environment consisting of different types of statistics-related documents and program codes. Its goal is creating reproducibility and offering a platform for sharing validated knowledge ...
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