Auflistung Institut für Geschichtswissenschaften nach Schlagwort "Forecast efficiency"
Anzeige der Publikationen 1-3 von 3
-
2020-09DiskussionspapierBusiness-Cycle Reports and the Efficiency of Macroeconomic Forecasts for Germany We study the efficiency of growth and inflation forecasts published by three leading German economic research institutes during a period of time ranging from 1970 to 2017. To this end, we examine whether the information ...
-
2019-04-01DiskussionspapierEvaluating the Joint Efficiency of German Trade Forecasts I analyze the joint efficiency of export and import forecasts by leading economic research institutes for the years 1970 to 2017 for Germany in a multivariate setting. To this end, I compute, in a first step, multivariate ...
-
2020-09DiskussionspapierOn the Efficiency of German Growth Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis Using Quantile Random Forests We use quantile random forests (QRF) to study the efficiency of the growth forecasts published by three leading German economic research institutes for the sample period from 1970 to 2017. To this end, we use a large array ...