Browsing Institut für Geschichtswissenschaften by Subject "German economic research institutes"

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2019-04-01Diskussionspapier

Evaluating the Joint Efficiency of German Trade Forecasts

A nonparametric multivariate approach

Behrens, Christoph

I analyze the joint efficiency of export and import forecasts by leading economic research institutes for the years 1970 to 2017 for Germany in a multivariate setting. To this end, I compute, in a first step, multivariate ...
2020-10Diskussionspapier

German Trade Forecasts since 1970 - An Evaluation Using the Panel Dimension

Behrens, Christoph

I evaluate German export growth and import growth forecasts published by eight professional forecasters for the years 1971 to 2019. The focus of the evaluation is on the weak and strong efficiency as well as the unbiasedness ...