2017-07Diskussionpapier
Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts
Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters
Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Waldhof, Gaby
The paper reports results of a survey among active forecasters of the German business cycle. Relying on 82 respondents from 37 different institutions, we investigate what models and theories forecasters subscribe to and ...