Browsing Working Papers of the Priority Programme 1859 – Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour by Subject "Forecast error evaluation"

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2017-07Diskussionpapier

Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts

Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters

Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Waldhof, Gaby

The paper reports results of a survey among active forecasters of the German business cycle. Relying on 82 respondents from 37 different institutions, we investigate what models and theories forecasters subscribe to and ...